EL 6303: Probability Theory    Fall 2009

Friday 11.00AM ~ 1:40 PM   

Instructor: Prof. S. Unnikrishna Pillai
             pillai@hora.poly.edu
           
(Tel)  (718) 260-3732   

   (Fax) (718) 260-3906
   LC 253
 

            >>Personal Web page

Homework .

>> Homeworks, Exams Web page 

 

Grading: Homework: 5%   Quiz #: 10%   Midterm: 35%     Final: 50%

 

 

 

Textbook

 

1.      Papoulis and Pillai, Probability, Random Variables and Stochastic Processes”, 4th Edition, McGraw-Hill Book Company, 2002.

2.      V. K Rohatgi, “An Introduction to Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics”, John Wiley & Sons, 1976

3.      V. K Rohatgi, “Statistical Inference”, John Wiley & Sons, 1984”

 

Office hours

 

Friday 2 – 5 PM

Remark

Both books are highly recommended. Try to do all home works, which will turn out to be very useful.

Use Lecture notes at Lecture Slides

 

Syllabus

1    (9/11)               The axiomatic definition of experiment and probability. Conditional Probability.

        

                  Bayes’ Theorem, Notion of independence.

           2    (9/18)                Repeated trials. Bernoulli trials and their limiting forms. The concept of a random variable.

           3     (9/25)               Probability distribution and density functions. Probability mass function.

                  Examples of random variables: Normal (Gaussian), Poisson, Gamma, Exponential, Laplace,

                 Cauchy, Rayleigh, etc. Bayes’ Theorem revisited.

           4     (10/2)              Functions of one random variable and their distributions.

           5    (10/9)              Expected value of a random variable: Mean, Variance, Moments, and Characteristic function.

6    (10/16)           Two random variables: Joint distribution and joint density functions, Independence 

           7     (10/23)          One function of two random variables.

           8    (10/30)            Midterm Examination. (11AM - 1.40PM)    

         9-10  (11/6, 13)      Two functions of two random variables. Order statistics.

         12    (11/20)             Joint moments, Uncorrelatedness, Orthogonality, Joint characteristic function.

                                         More on Gaussian random variables.

          13    (12/4)             Conditional distribution and conditional expected values.

         14    (12/11)             The central limit theorem.

                                         The principle of maximum likelihood (ML). Elements of parameter estimation 

         15     (12/18)           Final Examination. (11AM - 1.40PM)